Posted February 12, 200520 yr comment_560200 http://www.insidepulse.com/article.php?contentid=31963 This is going to be a banner year in Oakland. Jose Canseco's book will reveal that pretty much anyone that has played for, worked for, or even watched the A's play in the last 15 years shot up HGH into their eyeballs in the bathroom with him. In addition to that, it looks like the jig is finally up for GM Billy Beane and his giant, throbbing brain. Tim Hudson and Mark Mulder have gone bye bye, leaving a rotation that is among the worst in the majors. The A's still possess a decent lineup, but there is no way in hell you can contend with some guy named Keiichi Yabu that has an 84-106 career record in Japan as your #2 starter. Look for the A's to land in last place in the AL West this season. There is also a rumor going around that Beane himself will be a "free agent" after this season, and will leave for greener pastures, and that the team's new ownership is going to move them to San Jose, so all in all this team is a mess right now and it looks like they won't contend this year or anytime soon. I wish this was an isolated, bad writer. But no... http://www.insidepulse.com/article.php?contentid=32015 San Fransisco was awared the 2007 MLB All Star Game. They have decided to re-name the event, the Drug User Showcase!! Wow! That was witty and insightful at the same time!! http://sports.insidepulse.com/article.php?...contentid=31839 That formatting won't work here, but just remember kids, a little knowledge of statistics can be a dangerous thing. Seriously, where does this guy get the idea that Tim Harrikala and Octavio Dotel would be in the A's rotation. I don't like to trumpet my own work, but damn. I feel better about myself.
February 12, 200520 yr comment_560517 Team level predictions - It is pretty formulaic. First, I'll give you last year's team records along with runs scored and runs against. From there, I will give each team's predicted values for runs and RBI on the top 5 hitters (RBI) and the top 5 pitchers in predicted innings pitched with their projected ERA and earned runs surrendered. The RS and RA are adjusted to account for overall league projections as well as team errors. Okay... Based on these projections, I'll project winning percentages based on the Sabermetric's formula of (RS/RA) squared approximating team win/loss ratio. For an example of this formula in action, the 2004 Kansas City's squared (RS/RA) was 0.6329 and their actual win/loss ratio was 0.5577. So is this nutjob predicting records based last year's pythagorean record? Batting and Pitching Predictions - Individual player projections of runs scored and RBI are based on a regression of runs and RBI on the player's service time and the player's runs scored and RBI during the previous five seasons. When a player did not have five seasons of service time, regression models based on the player's previous seasons statistics were fit by years of service time. One point to keep in mind: the player's Innings pitched and earned runs were also determined in a similar fashion. If a player did not play in 2004, no attempt was made to predict that player's performance in 2005. So he is only focusing on R and RBI? He does realize that those are team influenced right? Hell, freaking BA would be more sufficient. Individual Fielding - The estimated number of errors committed by a player is determined using the average number of errors committed during the player's 5 most recent seasons. Since 1970, the ratio of unearned runs surrendered to errors committed is 64535/115972 = 0.556. This will be used to project the number of unearned runs surrendered by a team. So he's only looking at errors? What about fielding percent or range or god forbid even putouts and assists? *shoots himself* I don't even know what else to say since I think my IQ slipped down 30 points.
February 12, 200520 yr comment_563381 http://www.insidepulse.com/article.php?contentid=31963 This is going to be a banner year in Oakland. Jose Canseco's book will reveal that pretty much anyone that has played for, worked for, or even watched the A's play in the last 15 years shot up HGH into their eyeballs in the bathroom with him. In addition to that, it looks like the jig is finally up for GM Billy Beane and his giant, throbbing brain. Tim Hudson and Mark Mulder have gone bye bye, leaving a rotation that is among the worst in the majors. The A's still possess a decent lineup, but there is no way in hell you can contend with some guy named Keiichi Yabu that has an 84-106 career record in Japan as your #2 starter. Look for the A's to land in last place in the AL West this season. There is also a rumor going around that Beane himself will be a "free agent" after this season, and will leave for greener pastures, and that the team's new ownership is going to move them to San Jose, so all in all this team is a mess right now and it looks like they won't contend this year or anytime soon. I wish this was an isolated, bad writer. But no... So Moneyball = 'roids now? That's a new theory if I ever heard one...
February 12, 200520 yr comment_567612 In the days of the past writers would report what they saw, whatever interviews they got and that was it, nowadays they dont do that. Now writers feel the need to write opinions, some with bias to pass off as a big story. How many rumor stories have you beheld in the past year? Chances are the number is greater than ever before. Seems as though in the information age we are in, as the interest of the public and time changes, so does the writers
February 14, 200520 yr comment_624918 there is no way in hell you can contend with some guy named Keiichi Yabu that has an 84-106 career record in Japan as your #2 starter. Rich Harden would like a word with you. Hell, Blanton and Haren as well - the reports I've read have Yabu as the #5 and maybe not even that, if he gets beaten out by Etherton or Meyer. Seems as though in the information age we are in, as the interest of the public and time changes, so does the writers That seems a little counter-intuitive to me. Sure, the dramatic increase in information would lower the signal-to-noise ratio on a lot of fronts, but the increased information - and ease of access to said information - should also make stories, on the whole, a little more statistically accurate, in my opinion.
February 16, 200520 yr comment_667789 This is going to be a banner year in Oakland. Jose Canseco's book will reveal that pretty much anyone that has played for, worked for, or even watched the A's play in the last 15 years shot up HGH into their eyeballs in the bathroom with him. In addition to that, it looks like the jig is finally up for GM Billy Beane and his giant, throbbing brain. Tim Hudson and Mark Mulder have gone bye bye, leaving a rotation that is among the worst in the majors. The A's still possess a decent lineup, but there is no way in hell you can contend with some guy named Keiichi Yabu that has an 84-106 career record in Japan as your #2 starter. Look for the A's to land in last place in the AL West this season. There is also a rumor going around that Beane himself will be a "free agent" after this season, and will leave for greener pastures, and that the team's new ownership is going to move them to San Jose, so all in all this team is a mess right now and it looks like they won't contend this year or anytime soon. I wish this was an isolated, bad writer. But no... So Moneyball = 'roids now? That's a new theory if I ever heard one... Let's see: I don't think Jose stuck around the Oakland clubhouse for 15 years, dispensing steroids Oakland's rotation still looks better than Texas and Baltimore, right off the top of my head Frankly, with a name like Keiichi Yabu, I don't think there's a way in hell you can't contend Beane will probably stay unless he finds a team that gives him the same kind of freedom to run the team, which probably won't happen since Ricciardi blew it in Toronto and DePodesta made that big mixed-feelings Lo Duca trade The A's can't move to San Jose because MacGowan and the Giants would block it based on territory infringement
February 16, 200520 yr comment_670048 According to his new AL East preview, the Blue Jays rotation won't include Roy Halladay, Ted Lilly, or Miguel Batista, but will be made up of David Bush, Scott Schoeneweis, Josh Towers, Justin Miller, and Jason Frasor. At least with Oakland, he got their best starters right. Bush is really the only one there with a spot guaranteed in the rotation and Towers or Miller might even start the season in AAA. Frasor's probably going to be the closer. And Schoeneweis? What?
February 16, 200520 yr comment_670240 I work on the paper at school and got a look at our sports page tonight. The sports editor wrote a column on how good the Tigers' offseason was and how bad it was for the Cubs. I think I wanted to disagree with virtually everything he wrote in there, mainly because it just sounded like what someone on ESPN would spout off. Among the lowlights: - Praise for the acquisition of Troy Percivel and Magglio Ordonez - Criticism for letting Alou and Clement walk - More criticism for dumping Sosa - Questioning only going after Derrek Lee in the 2003 offseason and not Pudge and Urbina, both who wound up with the Tigers. - Not understanding why the Cubs didn't take a shot at Beltran or Pavano. To those I respond with: - One's way past his prime and not nearly worth the price tag he carries, while the other is a question mark because of a major injury and also commands a ridiculous contract. - Alou is nearly 40, hit like garbage on the road, was a cancer in the clubhouse and played horribly after May. Clement was hindered by injuries the last few weeks of the season, commanding too large of a contract and was arguably the weakest link in the starting rotation. - Sosa was a true cancer to the team and there's no way him being a Cubs in '05 would've worked. His behavior not only negated his declining production, but made it a pipe dream that the relationship between he and the Cubs fans could be salvaged. It wasn't about who they dumped him for, it was that they dumped him. - Pudge was 2003's Carlos Beltran. Arguably one of the hottest free agents, coming off a great postseason and asking for an insane contract thanks to Scott Boras. Urbina was fairly ineffective for the Tigers and wound up missing the last chunk of 2004 because of matters more imporant than baseball. - Beltran simply cost too much in the end, thanks mainly to the insane spending spree that GMs went on this offseason. And don't get me started on Pavano. The guy had a career season and shouldn't have even been considered a top free agent. I envision him becoming 2005's Javier Vazquez. I know this isn't related to Inside Pulse writing, but I had to share some idiotic sports writing with you all.
February 16, 200520 yr Author comment_686999 I-Rod had 22 win shares last season. Derrek Lee had 21. That wasn't exactly a bad acquisition, and Michael Barrett had a fine season.
February 17, 200520 yr comment_700253 411 (and its offshoot IP) has never been a place to look for decent writing... in any subject!!!! Wrestling, sports, music & movie reviews, 411Black.... they all sucked. Even the most famous names (SK, Hyatte, etc.) are milking past glories when the internet was young and they were the loudest voices in a much smaller community. Really... can you trust a wrestling review from IP or 411? I most certainly would not look for sports analysis over there. But hey... I can always look at action figures
February 17, 200520 yr comment_700340 Wrestling, sports, music & movie reviews, 411Black.... they all sucked. That's right, I know you weren't going to say video game reviews.
February 17, 200520 yr comment_703677 I had no idea you reviewed video games. Then again, I have a few game mag subscriptions and plenty of websites to go to for game reviews. 411 would not be my first place to look. With that said, I absolutely loved Jay Spree's game reviews when he decided to write them at TSM.
February 17, 200520 yr comment_708295 Well, anything Jay Spree wrote for the site was worth reading. And flame if you must, but I always loved The Scotsman's video game reviews.
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